Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 4:15 PM ETRazorback Stadium, FayettevilleFinal
North Alabama
UNA · 0-0
14
Final
Arkansas
ARK · 0-0
31
Final
Model called it
Spread
ARK -40.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 4:15 PM ET
Final
UNA 14 / ARK 31
From the booth
The model favored ARK to win, and the call landed.
Arkansas is absolutely favored in this one, sitting at 99 percent to win. The Razorbacks have the clear talent advantage here, and Vegas has them at 40 and a half, which tells you everything you need to know about the mismatch. North Alabama's got an uphill climb, but hey, that's why they play the games.
Why the model leans ARK
- Favors Arkansas: ARK+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas: ARK+0.00Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arkansas: ARK+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge