Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM ETBen Hill Griffin Stadium, GainesvillePrime time
Florida Atlantic
FAU · 0-0
5%
Win probability
Florida
FLA · 0-0
95%
Win probability
FAUFLA
Spread
FLA -26.5
Moneyline
FAU +1300 / FLA -7000
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
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Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:45 PM ET
From the booth
Florida's got this one locked down, and you're looking at a 95 percent win probability for the Gators at home. Vegas has them as 26 and a half point favorites, and that betting market is squarely in their corner. FAU's shown some life in their last five games with their offensive efficiency and point differential, but it's just not gonna be enough to overcome the talent gap and the home-field advantage here in Gainesville.
Why the model leans FLA
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida Atlantic: FAU+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games