Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETKyle Field, College StationPrime timeFinal
Missouri State
MOST · 0-0
0
Final
#8Texas A&M
TA&M · 0-0
50
Final
Model called it
Spread
TA&M -40.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Kyle Field · College Station
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
MOST 0 / TA&M 50
From the booth
The model favored TA&M to win, and the call landed.
Texas A&M is absolutely favored in this one, sitting at 96 percent to win. The Aggies are getting the full Vegas treatment here as a 40 and a half point favorite, and when you combine that massive spread with their ranking advantage, Missouri State's got a mountain to climb. The betting market is locked in on A&M too, and even though Missouri State's been solid on offense lately, that's just not enough to move the needle in a game where the talent gap is this wide.
Why the model leans TA&M
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.07Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Missouri State: MOSTOffensive EPA/play, last 5 games