Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 10:15 PM ETRice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake CityPrime timeFinal
Arkansas
ARK · 1-0
10
Final
#20Utah
UTAH · 1-0
43
Final
Model called it
Spread
UTAH -12.5
Moneyline
ARK +390 / UTAH -520
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
79.6°F · 16.4 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 10:15 PM ET
Final
ARK 10 / UTAH 43
From the booth
The model favored UTAH to win, and the call landed.
Utah's looking like the heavy favorite here at 77 percent win probability, and you can see why. The Utes have been putting up better offensive numbers lately, and everything from the betting markets to Vegas is pointing toward a Utah win with that 12.5 point spread. Arkansas has had some momentum in their last five games, but that's not enough to overcome Utah's advantage at home in Salt Lake City. This one feels like Utah's to lose.
Why the model leans UTAH
- Favors Utah: UTAH+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Utah: UTAH+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas: ARK+0.03Win rate, last 5 games