From the booth

The model favored TEX to win, and the call landed.

Texas is sitting pretty at 96 percent to win this one, and that's exactly where you'd expect the number one team in the country to be against an unranked opponent. Vegas has 'em at thirty and a half, and when you combine that spread with the Longhorns' ranking advantage, this one's pretty much over before kickoff. UTSA's got a four percent shot, and the only thing working in their favor is a slight edge in offensive efficiency over their last five games, but that's not nearly enough to move the needle against the top-ranked Horns.