Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 12:45 PM ETFirstBank Stadium, NashvilleFinal
NC State
NCSU · 1-1
31
Final
Vanderbilt
VAN · 2-0
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
VAN -3.5
Moneyline
NCSU +128 / VAN -154
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
FirstBank Stadium · Nashville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 12:45 PM ET
Final
NCSU 31 / VAN 35
From the booth
The model favored VAN to win, and the call landed.
Vanderbilt's got this one favored at home, sitting at 57 percent to win, and Vegas is backing that up with a three and a half point spread in the Commodores' favor. The betting markets are aligned with the oddsmakers here, giving Vanderbilt a real edge at home. Now, NC State's offense has been clicking better than Vandy's over these last five games, so don't sleep on the Wolfpack, but everything else points to the home team getting the job done today.
Why the model leans VAN
- Favors Vanderbilt: VAN+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors NC State: NCSU+0.05Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Vanderbilt: VANBetting-market win probability