Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ETKyle Field, College StationPrime timeConference gameFinal
Arkansas
ARK · 2-2
7
Final
Texas A&M
TA&M · 2-2
34
Final
Model called it
Spread
TA&M -13.5
Moneyline
ARK +480 / TA&M -690
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
80.1°F · 12.6 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Kyle Field · College Station
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
ARK 7 / TA&M 34
From the booth
The model favored TA&M to win, and the call landed.
Saturday night in the SEC, and both teams are looking to climb out of 2-2 holes. Texas A&M just got blown out by LSU 35-6, while Arkansas bounced back with a 34-6 win over Tulsa at home. The Aggies are favored by 13.5 and our model backs that at 78%, leaning on the betting market's read of this matchup.
Why the model leans TA&M
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.06Betting-market win probability
- Favors Texas A&M: TA&M+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Arkansas: ARK+0.02Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games