Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ETRazorback Stadium, FayettevilleConference gameFinal
#15Tennessee
TENN · 4-1
24
Final
Arkansas
ARK · 2-3
17
Final
Model called it
Spread
TENN -13.5
Moneyline
TENN -550 / ARK +400
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
86.2°F · 6.4 mph · Clear
Venue
Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 4:15 PM ET
Final
TENN 24 / ARK 17
From the booth
The model favored TENN to win, and the call landed.
Tennessee rolls into Fayetteville off a 24-14 win over Auburn and sits at 4-1, while Arkansas limps in at 2-3 after getting routed 34-7 at Texas A&M. The model backs the Volunteers at 78%, leaning harder than the market's 13.5-point line, driven by their offensive firepower and overall team strength. Arkansas is giving up 28.3 points per game over its last 3, and Tennessee's been averaging 27.7 while dominant on the other side of the ball at 14.3 allowed.
Why the model leans TENN
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.17Vegas point spread
- Favors Tennessee: TENN+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Tennessee: TENNOffensive EPA/play, last 5 games