Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 12:45 PM ETBen Hill Griffin Stadium, GainesvilleConference gameFinal
South Carolina
SC · 2-3
38
Final
#16Florida
FLA · 4-1
19
Final
Model missed
Spread
FLA -10.5
Moneyline
SC +360 / FLA -470
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
84°F · 13.6 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:45 PM ET
Final
SC 38 / FLA 19
From the booth
The model favored FLA to win, and the call missed.
SEC conference matchup in Gainesville, and Florida has to shake off a blowout loss to Missouri after dropping from 8 to 16 in the polls. South Carolina limps in on a 3-game losing streak, getting 10.5 points. The model backs the Gators at 77%, aligned with a market that sees the AP poll standing and Florida's higher ceiling despite recent ugly scoring margins on both sides.
Why the model leans FLA
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Florida: FLA+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors South Carolina: SC+0.03Win rate, last 5 games