Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ETKroger Field, LexingtonPrime timeConference gameFinal
#10LSU
LSU · 4-1
34
Final
Kentucky
UK · 4-1
35
Final
Model missed
Spread
LSU -8.5
Moneyline
LSU -345 / UK +275
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
62.1°F · 19.8 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Venue
Kroger Field · Lexington
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
LSU 34 / UK 35
From the booth
The model favored LSU to win, and the call missed.
Kentucky's hot at 4-1 with 3 straight wins, but LSU rolls in ranked 10th and averaging 40.7 points over its last 3. The model leans the Tigers at 75%, backed by their top-10 status and dominant point differential. Vegas agrees, laying 8.5, though a wet Saturday night in Lexington could tighten things up.
Why the model leans LSU
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.18Vegas point spread
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors LSU: LSU+0.02Point differential, last 5 games