From the booth

The model favored TEX to win, and the call missed.

It's the Cotton Bowl and a huge statement game for the top-ranked Longhorns, who are 4-0 and coming off a bye. Oklahoma has won just 2 games and got blasted by Georgia 41-13 before their rest week. Our model loves Texas at 77%, and the market agrees, laying 7.5 points on the Longhorns. The strength gap shows up in the numbers: Texas is averaging 24.7 points and holding opponents to 15.3, while the Sooners are stuck at 12.3 points for and giving up 21.3.