Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Norman, OK), NormanPrime timeConference game
#15Kentucky
UK · 5-1
30%
Win probability
Oklahoma
OU · 3-2
70%
Win probability
UKOU
Spread
OU -6.5
Moneyline
UK +195 / OU -238
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
56.6°F · 3.5 mph · Clear
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET
From the booth
Kentucky's 15th-ranked Wildcats roll in at 5-1 with 4 straight wins, but Oklahoma just beat Texas and gets the home edge in this SEC matchup. The model tabs the Sooners at 70%, though the market is more measured at 6.5 points. Kentucky's offense and defense have both been elite these last 5 games, and that's what's keeping this one tight despite Oklahoma's setup advantage.
Why the model leans OU
- Favors Oklahoma: OU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Oklahoma: OU+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors Kentucky: UK+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- UK