Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ETNeyland Stadium, KnoxvilleConference game
#6Alabama
ALA · 5-1
75%
Win probability
#14Tennessee
TENN · 5-1
25%
Win probability
ALATENN
Spread
ALA -7.5
Moneyline
ALA -310 / TENN +250
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
56.9°F · 14.9 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Neyland Stadium · Knoxville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
From the booth
Saturday afternoon in Knoxville, and this is a statement game for Tennessee. The Volunteers are 5-1 and ranked 14th after winning 2 straight, but Alabama comes in ranked 6th and hungry after dropping to Georgia 20-17 at home. Our model backs the Crimson Tide at 75%, well ahead of the market's 7.5-point line, leaning on Alabama's offensive efficiency and season-long strength.
Why the model leans ALA
- Favors Alabama: ALA+0.18Vegas point spread
- Favors Alabama: ALA+0.10Betting-market win probability
- Favors Alabama: ALA+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- ALA