From the booth

The model favored TCU to win, and the call missed.

TCU's looking like the clear favorite here, sitting at 78 percent to win this matchup. The Frogs are getting some solid backing from Vegas and the betting markets, and they've got that home-field advantage working in their favor. North Carolina's not without a shot at 22 percent, and they've actually been a little more efficient on offense lately, but it's just not quite enough to flip this one around tonight.