Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ETBill Snyder Family Stadium, ManhattanPrime timeFinal
Nicholls
NICH · 0-0
3
Final
Kansas State
KSU · 0-0
71
Final
Model called it
Spread
KSU -41.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
NICH 3 / KSU 71
From the booth
The model favored KSU to win, and the call landed.
Kansas State is absolutely favored in this one, sitting at 99 percent to win, and honestly that makes complete sense. The Wildcats have a massive talent advantage with their Elo rating, Vegas has them as a 41 and a half point favorite, and the betting market is locked in on KSU as well. Nicholls comes in as a one percent long shot, but hey, that's why they play the games, right.
Why the model leans KSU
- Favors Kansas State: KSU+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors Kansas State: KSU+0.00Betting-market win probability
- Favors Kansas State: KSU+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge