From the booth

The model favored WVU to win, and the call landed.

West Virginia is absolutely favored here, sitting at 99 percent win probability, and this one looks like a mismatch on paper. The Mountaineers are getting the Vegas treatment with that 41.5-point spread, they've got the Elo rating advantage, and they've been clicking offensively over their last five games. UT Martin's got that 1 percent shot, but you'd need one of the biggest collapses in college football to make this interesting.