From the booth

The model favored UVA to win, and the call missed.

Virginia comes in heavily favored at 80 percent, and the model likes what it sees with the Cavaliers controlling this matchup in pretty much every way that matters. The Vegas spread has Virginia by eight and a half, the betting market's locked in on a lopsided win probability, and you look at these last five games, Virginia's outperforming West Virginia in both point differential and offensive efficiency. This is a ranked team at home that's simply playing better football right now, and they should be favored to handle an unranked Mountaineer squad coming in from the road.