Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ETMemorial Stadium, ColumbiaFinal
Middle Tennessee
MTSU · 2-2
0
Final
Kansas
KU · 1-2
55
Final
Model called it
Spread
KU -20.5
Moneyline
MTSU +810 / KU -1450
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
64.5°F · 7.3 mph · Clear
Venue
Memorial Stadium · Columbia
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
MTSU 0 / KU 55
From the booth
The model favored KU to win, and the call landed.
Kansas limps in after 2 straight losses, but the Jayhawks get a breather on the bye and face a Middle Tennessee team that just fell to Jacksonville State. Our model backs Kansas at 92%, well above the 20.5-point spread, banking on the Jayhawks' defensive efficiency and the betting market's confidence in this Big 12 matchup.
Why the model leans KU
- Favors Kansas: KU+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Kansas: KU+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Middle Tennessee: MTSU+0.01Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games