Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ETJack Trice Stadium, AmesConference gameFinal
West Virginia
WVU · 3-1
42
Final
Iowa State
ISU · 2-2
45
Final
Model called it
Spread
ISU -2.5
Moneyline
WVU +126 / ISU -152
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
59°F · 13.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium · Ames
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
WVU 42 / ISU 45
From the booth
The model favored ISU to win, and the call landed.
Big 12 conference game in Ames, and West Virginia comes in hot at 3-1 while Iowa State is 2-2 after a loss to Utah. The Cyclones are favored by 2.5 points, and our model backs that at 67%. Iowa State's advantages in point differential and offensive efficiency are the edge here, even though the Mountaineers have been putting up points in recent weeks.
Why the model leans ISU
- Favors Iowa State: ISU+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors Iowa State: ISU+0.04Point differential, last 5 games
- Favors Iowa State: ISU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games