Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ETJones AT&T Stadium, LubbockConference game
Arizona State
ASU · 3-2
15%
Win probability
#10Texas Tech
TTU · 5-0
85%
Win probability
ASUTTU
Spread
TTU -14.5
Moneyline
ASU +490 / TTU -710
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
54.1°F · 3.2 mph · Clear
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
From the booth
Texas Tech rolls in undefeated and ranked, fresh off a bye after steamrolling Colorado 29-7 on the road. Arizona State took down Hawai'i but sits 3-2, and the Red Raiders' defense has been suffocating lately, giving up just 15.7 points a game. Our model has Texas Tech at 85%, well ahead of the market's 14.5-point line, banking on the Red Raiders' dominance while Arizona State's offense and defense both rank as the main factors working against the Sun Devils.
Why the model leans TTU
- Favors Texas Tech: TTU+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Texas Tech: TTU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Arizona State: ASU+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games