From the booth

The model favored UVA to win, and the call landed.

Virginia's got the edge here at sixty-four percent to win this ACC battle at home, and it really comes down to how they've been playing over their last five games. The Cavaliers have built up that point differential advantage that's working in their favor, though you've got to give NC State credit because their defense has actually been pretty stingy lately, which keeps this one within a field goal or so on the spread. The betting market likes Virginia too, so you're looking at a Hoos team that's trending in the right direction as they host the Wolfpack in Charlottesville.