Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ETL&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, LouisvilleConference gameFinal
#16SMU
SMU · 2-0
31
Final
#23Louisville
LOU · 1-1
41
Final
Model missed
Spread
LOU -1.5
Moneyline
SMU -102 / LOU -118
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
SMU 31 / LOU 41
From the booth
The model favored SMU to win, and the call missed.
The broadcast feed dropped out for this one, but the numbers still tell the story below.
Why the model leans SMU
- Favors Louisville: LOU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Louisville: LOU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.01Point differential, last 5 games
- LOU