Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ETWallace Wade Stadium, DurhamConference gameFinal
Stanford
STAN · 1-1
7
Final
Duke
DUKE · 2-0
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
DUKE -10.5
Moneyline
STAN +290 / DUKE -375
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
Final
STAN 7 / DUKE 35
From the booth
The model favored DUKE to win, and the call landed.
Duke's got the edge here, sitting at 67 percent to win this ACC matchup, and the model likes what it sees with the Blue Devils at home plus 10 and a half. The Vegas line and the betting market are both giving Duke the nod, though Stanford's been playing better ball lately in their last five games and they've had some extra rest heading into tonight. It's not a runaway for the Blue Devils, but Cameron Indoor's going to be a factor in what should be a pretty solid conference battle.
Why the model leans DUKE
- Favors Duke: DUKE+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Stanford: STAN+0.04Win rate, last 5 games
- Favors Duke: DUKE+0.03Betting-market win probability