Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ETGerald J. Ford Stadium, University ParkConference gameFinal
Boston College
BC · 2-2
16
Final
#21SMU
SMU · 3-1
25
Final
Model called it
Spread
SMU -21.5
Moneyline
BC +1100 / SMU -2500
Total
O/U 55.5
Weather
73°F · 7.3 mph · Overcast
Venue
Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
BC 16 / SMU 25
From the booth
The model favored SMU to win, and the call landed.
SMU rides into Gerald J. Ford Stadium ranked 21st and rolling, fresh off 40 points against Missouri State. Boston College limps in after a home loss to Virginia Tech, averaging just 21 points a game over the last 3 weeks. Our model crushes the Mustangs at 92%, and the betting market agrees, laying 21.5 points on the home side.
Why the model leans SMU
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.10Vegas point spread
- Favors SMU: SMU+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Boston College: BC+0.01Point differential, last 5 games