Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ETAcrisure Stadium, PittsburghConference gameFinal
North Carolina
UNC · 2-2
21
Final
#25Pittsburgh
PITT · 5-0
17
Final
Model missed
Spread
PITT -3.5
Moneyline
UNC +160 / PITT -194
Total
O/U 47.5
Weather
67.2°F · 9.6 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
UNC 21 / PITT 17
From the booth
The model favored PITT to win, and the call missed.
Pittsburgh rolls into this one unbeaten at 5-0 and ranked for the first time this year, fresh off a road win over Virginia Tech. North Carolina drops in after back-to-back losses, including a home setback to Notre Dame. Our model backs the Panthers at 64%, right in line with a market making them 3.5-point favorites at home. Pittsburgh's defense has been lights-out lately, and that point differential edge carries real weight here.
Why the model leans PITT
- Favors Pittsburgh: PITT+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Pittsburgh: PITT+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors North Carolina: UNC+0.03Win rate, last 5 games