Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ETScott Stadium, CharlottesvillePrime timeConference gameFinal
Syracuse
SYR · 2-2
25
Final
Virginia
UVA · 3-2
28
Final
Model called it
Spread
UVA -10.5
Moneyline
SYR +350 / UVA -465
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
61.9°F · 7.1 mph · Overcast
Venue
Scott Stadium · Charlottesville
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
SYR 25 / UVA 28
From the booth
The model favored UVA to win, and the call landed.
Syracuse comes to Charlottesville after a big road win over UConn, but Virginia gets the nod at home. The Cavaliers took a beating from Florida State last week, yet the model backs them at 78%, well ahead of the market's 10.5-point line. Virginia's offensive efficiency and the betting market are doing the heavy lifting here.
Why the model leans UVA
- Favors Virginia: UVA+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Virginia: UVA+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors Virginia: UVA+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games