Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ETMichigan Stadium, Ann ArborPrime timeFinal
Western Michigan
WMU · 0-0
12
Final
#16Michigan
MICH · 0-0
13
Final
Model called it
Spread
MICH -27.5
Moneyline
WMU +2000 / MICH -6500
Total
O/U 49.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
WMU 12 / MICH 13
From the booth
The model favored MICH to win, and the call landed.
Michigan's got this one locked down at 96 percent, and it's not even close. The Wolverines are getting a massive 27.5-point spread from Vegas, they're ranked 16th in the AP poll while Western Michigan's unranked, and the betting market's firmly behind the maize and blue. Western Michigan's got a tiny sliver at 4 percent, but you'd need a complete upset special to see this one get interesting.
Why the model leans MICH
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors Western Michigan: WMU+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games