Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ETOhio Stadium, ColumbusFinal
Ball State
BALL · 0-0
3
Final
#1Ohio State
OSU · 0-0
56
Final
Model called it
Spread
OSU -49.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Ohio Stadium · Columbus
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ET
Final
BALL 3 / OSU 56
From the booth
The model favored OSU to win, and the call landed.
Ohio State's got this one locked up at 98 percent, and it's not even close. The Buckeyes are getting a massive 49-and-a-half point spread here, and Vegas is all in on the chalk with the betting market backing that play. Ball State's a two percent longshot, and even with a slight edge in offensive efficiency over the last five games, there's just no path for the Cardinals to keep pace with numero uno in the country.
Why the model leans OSU
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.00Point differential, last 5 games