Week 2 slate
Week 2Sat, Sep 12 · 7:15 PM ETRose Bowl, PasadenaPrime timeFinal
San Diego State
SDSU · 1-0
10
Final
UCLA
UCLA · 1-0
28
Final
Model called it
Spread
UCLA -12.5
Moneyline
SDSU +370 / UCLA -485
Total
O/U 54.5
Weather
83.2°F · 7.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Rose Bowl · Pasadena
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:15 PM ET
Final
SDSU 10 / UCLA 28
From the booth
The model favored UCLA to win, and the call landed.
UCLA's got this one as a significant favorite here, and the model backs it up at 80 percent, folks. The Bruins have been clicking on offense over their last five games, and that defense has been stingy keeping opponents off the board, which is why Vegas has them as nearly a two-touchdown favorite at 12.5. San Diego State will get their shot, but they're looking at just a 20 percent win probability against a UCLA squad that's firing on both sides of the ball right now.
Why the model leans UCLA
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.02Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games