Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ETMichigan Stadium, Ann ArborFinal
UTEP
UTEP · 1-1
17
Final
#19Michigan
MICH · 2-0
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
MICH -34.5
Moneyline
UTEP +4500 / MICH -35000
Total
O/U 48.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Michigan Stadium · Ann Arbor
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Final
UTEP 17 / MICH 52
From the booth
The model favored MICH to win, and the call landed.
Michigan's sitting pretty here at 97 percent win probability, and honestly, when you've got a 34 and a half point Vegas line at home, that's about where you'd expect to be. The Wolverines are ranked nineteenth in the country, they've got the betting market solidly behind them, and UTEP's coming in as an unranked team without much to work with on either side of the ball. This one figures to be a mismatch from the opening kickoff.
Why the model leans MICH
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.06Vegas point spread
- Favors Michigan: MICH+0.02Betting-market win probability
- Favors UTEP: UTEP+0.00Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games