Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ETRose Bowl, PasadenaPrime timeConference gameFinal
Purdue
PUR · 1-1
38
Final
UCLA
UCLA · 2-0
52
Final
Model called it
Spread
UCLA -14.5
Moneyline
PUR +460 / UCLA -650
Total
O/U 52.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Rose Bowl · Pasadena
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ET
Final
PUR 38 / UCLA 52
From the booth
The model favored UCLA to win, and the call landed.
UCLA's got this one locked up, and the model's got 'em at 90 percent to win it. The Bruins are getting a massive 14.5-point cushion from Vegas, and that spread is doing the heavy lifting here, paired with some real defensive strength over their last five games. Purdue's gonna need to play a near-perfect game on the road in Big Ten play, but everything's pointing to Westwood tonight.
Why the model leans UCLA
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.09Vegas point spread
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors UCLA: UCLA+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games