Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ETOhio Stadium, ColumbusConference gameFinal
Illinois
ILL · 2-1
19
Final
#7Ohio State
OSU · 2-1
42
Final
Model called it
Spread
OSU -27.5
Moneyline
ILL +1600 / OSU -4500
Total
O/U 53.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Ohio Stadium · Columbus
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
ILL 19 / OSU 42
From the booth
The model favored OSU to win, and the call landed.
Ohio State's sitting at 95 percent to win this one, and Vegas agrees, laying nearly 27 and a half points on Illinois. The Buckeyes have a significant talent edge here, they're ranked seventh in the country while the Illini are unranked, and that's showing up in how the betting market sees this matchup. Ohio State's also been stingy on defense over their last five games, which should make it tough sledding for an Illinois offense in the Horseshoe. This looks like a Buckeyes blowout waiting to happen.
Why the model leans OSU
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.08Vegas point spread
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors Ohio State: OSUAP poll standing edge