From the booth

The model favored PSU to win, and the call missed.

Penn State's favored in this one, sitting at 73 percent win probability, and the Vegas market is really backing the Nittany Lions here with a ten-point spread. The polling edge gives Penn State a bump too, but here's the thing, Wisconsin's been more efficient on offense over the last five games, so the Badgers aren't coming in here without a puncher's chance in this Big Ten battle. Vegas and the betting market are telling you Penn State's the team to beat, but that Wisconsin offense could make this a closer game than the spread suggests.