From the booth

The model favored IOWA to win, and the call landed.

Iowa's got this one locked up at ninety-nine percent, and honestly, it's not even close. You're looking at a massive talent gap here, an eighteenth-ranked Hawkeyes team facing an unranked Northern Iowa squad, and Vegas has Iowa favored by thirty-eight and a half points. The betting market agrees, the Elo ratings agree, everything's pointing the same direction, so unless something goes completely sideways, this is Iowa's game to lose.