Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 8:00 PM ETSHI Stadium, PiscatawayPrime timeConference gameFinal
#6Indiana
IU · 4-0
47
Final
Rutgers
RUTG · 1-3
15
Final
Model called it
Spread
IU -24.5
Moneyline
IU -3000 / RUTG +1200
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
61.7°F · 4.3 mph · Clear
Venue
SHI Stadium · Piscataway
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 8:00 PM ET
Final
IU 47 / RUTG 15
From the booth
The model favored IU to win, and the call landed.
Indiana rolls into the Big Ten as a 6-ranked team riding a 4-win start, while Rutgers sits at 1-3 looking for answers. The Hoosiers are up 24.5 points on the road, and our model backs that decisively at 93%, leaning on Indiana's season-long strength, AP standing, and market consensus. The Scarlet Knights have flashed life in recent games but are giving up 7.7 points per game on defense, the Hoosiers average 40.7.
Why the model leans IU
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.02Team rating (Elo) edge