Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ETLos Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los AngelesPrime timeConference gameFinal
Washington
WASH · 3-1
21
Final
#18USC
USC · 4-1
25
Final
Model called it
Spread
USC -8.5
Moneyline
WASH +285 / USC -360
Total
O/U 58.5
Weather
96°F · 11 mph · Clear
Venue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum · Los Angeles
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Final
WASH 21 / USC 25
From the booth
The model favored USC to win, and the call landed.
Washington heads to the Coliseum for a Big Ten matchup, and the Huskies are hunting after a 27-24 home loss to Minnesota. USC dropped to 4-1 following a 41-27 shellacking by Oregon, and our model gives the Trojans 78% to win. The market lays 8.5 points on USC, backed by their defensive efficiency and overall team strength, though the Huskies' stingy defense has been holding up its end in recent games.
Why the model leans USC
- Favors USC: USC+0.05Vegas point spread
- Favors USC: USC+0.03Betting-market win probability
- Favors USC: USC+0.01Defensive EPA/play allowed, last 5 games