Week 6 slate
Week 6Sat, Oct 10 · 8:00 PM ETRoss-Ade Stadium, West LafayettePrime timeConference gameFinal
Minnesota
MINN · 4-1
13
Final
Purdue
PUR · 2-3
41
Final
Model called it
Spread
MINN -2.5
Moneyline
MINN -137 / PUR +114
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
68.1°F · 8.3 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10 · 8:00 PM ET
Final
MINN 13 / PUR 41
From the booth
The model favored PUR to win, and the call landed.
Big Ten battle Saturday night in West Lafayette, and Minnesota's riding a 3-game winning streak while Purdue just upset Illinois on the road. The market likes the Golden Gophers at 2.5 points, but our model leans Purdue at 53%. The Boilermakers have been sharper on offense over their last 5 games, and that edge could flip a tight one.
Why the model leans PUR
- Favors Minnesota: MINN+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Purdue: PUR+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Minnesota: MINN+0.03Betting-market win probability