Week 7 slate
Week 7Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ETMemorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), BloomingtonConference game
#4Ohio State
OSU · 5-1
48%
Win probability
#5Indiana
IU · 6-0
52%
Win probability
OSUIU
Spread
OSU -3.5
Moneyline
OSU -170 / IU +140
Total
O/U 50.5
Weather
49.6°F · 9.8 mph · Clear
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · Bloomington
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
From the booth
Indiana rolls in undefeated at 6-0, but Ohio State is favored by 3.5 and owns a plus-9 point differential over its last 5. Our model leans the Hoosiers at 52%, giving Indiana the edge on offensive efficiency despite the market backing the Buckeyes. This is a Big Ten slugfest between 2 top-5 teams, and the model and Vegas disagree on who takes it.
Why the model leans IU
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Indiana: IU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Ohio State: OSU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- OSU