Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM ETCanvas Stadium, Fort CollinsFinal
Wyoming
WYO · 0-0
13
Final
Colorado State
CSU · 0-0
35
Final
Model called it
Spread
CSU -3
Moneyline
WYO +130 / CSU -155
Total
O/U 46.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00 PM ET
Final
WYO 13 / CSU 35
From the booth
The model favored CSU to win, and the call landed.
Colorado State comes in favored at 62 percent, and they've got the edge in offensive efficiency over their last five games, which is fueling this one. Wyoming's got a little help from Vegas, who actually likes the Cowboys by three, but the betting market and CSU's offensive execution are enough to push the Rams into slight favorite territory. This should be a competitive matchup in the Mountain West, but Colorado State's got just enough offensive firepower to get the nod here.
Why the model leans CSU
- Favors Wyoming: WYO+0.11Vegas point spread
- Favors Colorado State: CSU+0.04Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games
- Favors Colorado State: CSUBetting-market win probability