Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 9:30 PM ETSnapdragon Stadium, San DiegoPrime timeFinal
Portland State
PRST · 0-0
20
Final
San Diego State
SDSU · 0-0
53
Final
Model called it
Spread
SDSU -39.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 62.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:30 PM ET
Final
PRST 20 / SDSU 53
From the booth
The model favored SDSU to win, and the call landed.
San Diego State is absolutely loaded in this one, coming in at 99 percent to win tonight. The Aztecs have the spread working heavily in their favor at nearly 40 points, and the betting markets are aligned with Vegas on this matchup. Portland State's got a massive mountain to climb here, sitting at just 1 percent, and SDSU's Elo rating advantage tells you everything you need to know about the gap in talent on the field tonight.
Why the model leans SDSU
- Favors San Diego State: SDSU+0.03Vegas point spread
- Favors San Diego State: SDSU+0.00Betting-market win probability
- Favors San Diego State: SDSU+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge