

Model called it
The model favored BOIS to win, and the call landed.
Boise State comes in as a solid favorite here, sitting at 74 percent to win this one, and the Vegas market is backing that up with an eight and a half point spread favoring the Broncos at home. Memphis has got some momentum working in their favor and they're not without a shot at 26 percent, but when you combine that home field advantage with what the betting market's telling us, Boise State's got all the angles working their way in this matchup. It's the kind of game where the Broncos should be able to control the line of scrimmage and dictate terms, but you know football, any given Saturday and all that.
Model vcfb-1.0.0 · predicted Sep 12, 2026 · not betting advice