Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ETSun Bowl, El PasoPrime timeFinal
Oregon State
ORST · 1-2
33
Final
UTEP
UTEP · 1-2
7
Final
Model called it
Spread
ORST -10.5
Moneyline
ORST -465 / UTEP +350
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Sun Bowl · El Paso
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ET
Final
ORST 33 / UTEP 7
From the booth
The model favored ORST to win, and the call landed.
Oregon State comes in as a heavy favorite here, sitting at 73% win probability, and the betting market is backing that up with the Beavers laying 10 and a half points. Vegas clearly likes what they've seen from Oregon State recently, and that's the overwhelming consensus across the board. UTEP's got a little thing working offensively in their last five games that could keep this interesting, but it's gonna take a lot more than that to overcome being a double-digit dog at home.
Why the model leans ORST
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.19Vegas point spread
- Favors Oregon State: ORST+0.12Betting-market win probability
- Favors UTEP: UTEPOffensive EPA/play, last 5 games