Week 5 slate
Week 5Sat, Oct 3 · 9:30 PM ETGesa Field, PullmanPrime timeConference gameFinal
Fresno State
FRES · 3-1
26
Final
Washington State
WSU · 1-3
6
Final
Model called it
Spread
WSU -1.5
Moneyline
FRES +100 / WSU -120
Total
O/U 45.5
Weather
71.3°F · 3.6 mph · Clear
Venue
Gesa Field · Pullman
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3 · 9:30 PM ET
Final
FRES 26 / WSU 6
From the booth
The model favored FRES to win, and the call landed.
Fresno State rolls into Pullman unbeaten in conference play at 3-1, riding a 3-game winning streak behind an offense averaging 37.7 points. Washington State just dropped to Arizona at home and is looking to steady the ship in a Pac-12 matchup. Our model favors the Bulldogs at 55%, but the market likes the Cougars laying 1.5 at home. Fresno State's efficiency and point differential have the edge here.
Why the model leans FRES
- Favors Washington State: WSU+0.12Vegas point spread
- Favors Washington State: WSU+0.04Betting-market win probability
- Favors Fresno State: FRES+0.02Point differential, last 5 games