Week 6 slate
Week 6Fri, Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ETMaverik Stadium, LoganPrime timeConference gameFinal
Washington State
WSU · 1-4
16
Final
Utah State
USU · 1-4
17
Final
Model called it
Spread
USU -5.5
Moneyline
WSU +176 / USU -215
Total
O/U 43.5
Weather
70.3°F · 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Venue
Maverik Stadium · Logan
Kickoff
Fri, Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Final
WSU 16 / USU 17
From the booth
The model favored USU to win, and the call landed.
Friday night in the Pac-12, and both teams are hunting for answers at 1-4. Washington State lost to Fresno State 26-6 at home and has dropped 2 straight, while Utah State just got walloped by Boise State 37-18. Our model likes the Aggies at 68%, and the market agrees, laying 5.5 points. Utah State's offensive efficiency over the last 5 games gives it an edge here, even though Washington State rates better on season-long strength.
Why the model leans USU
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.05Betting-market win probability
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors Utah State: USU+0.03Offensive EPA/play, last 5 games