Week 1 slate
Week 1Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ETPratt & Whitney Stadium, East HartfordFinal
Lafayette
LAF · 0-0
7
Final
UConn
CONN · 0-0
56
Final
Model called it
Spread
CONN -19.5
Moneyline
LAF +860 / CONN -1600
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
Final
LAF 7 / CONN 56
From the booth
The model favored CONN to win, and the call landed.
UConn is absolutely favored in this one, sitting at 97 percent to win this game, and it's not even close. The Huskies have a 19 and a half point spread working in their favor, they've got the superior Elo rating, and the betting market is all in on the home team here. Lafayette's coming in as a major underdog at just 3 percent, and you can see why when you look at UConn's been the more consistent team over their last five games. This one figures to be a mismatch on paper, folks.
Why the model leans CONN
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.04Vegas point spread
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors UConn: CONN+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge