From the booth

The model favored MEM to win, and the call landed.

Memphis is sitting pretty as a heavy favorite here, and the model's got them at 78 percent to win. The Tigers are getting a bump from that massive 11 and a half point spread and the betting market backing them, plus they've been more efficient on offense down the stretch over their last five games. Arkansas State does have a rest advantage, but that's not nearly enough to overcome Memphis' edge tonight.