From the booth

The model favored ARMY to win, and the call missed.

Army's favored here in this American Athletic Conference matchup, sitting at a 61% win probability at home, and the Vegas market's backing that call with a 3.5-point spread. The Black Knights have the early-season advantage and Vegas is leaning their way, though South Florida's shown some decent offensive efficiency in their last five games that could keep this one competitive. This is a classic Conference USA... excuse me, AAC battle where Army's home-field edge and the sportsbooks' conviction give them the edge, but the Bulls aren't coming in as cupcakes.