Week 3 slate
Week 3Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ETRaymond James Stadium, TampaPrime timeFinal
Delaware State
DSU · 0-0
17
Final
South Florida
USF · 2-0
59
Final
Model called it
Spread
USF -36.5
Moneyline
N/A
Total
O/U 61.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Raymond James Stadium · Tampa
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
DSU 17 / USF 59
From the booth
The model favored USF to win, and the call landed.
South Florida is absolutely rolling here, sitting at 99 percent win probability at home against Delaware State. The Bulls have got the whole thing working in their favor, Vegas has them as 36-and-a-half point favorites, they've got a significant Elo rating advantage, and they're playing lights out over their last five games. Delaware State's gonna need everything to go right just to keep this respectable, but all the metrics say USF should handle business decisively here.
Why the model leans USF
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors South Florida: USF+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors South Florida: USFTeam rating (Elo) edge