Week 4 slate
Week 4Fri, Sep 25 · 7:00 PM ETProtective Stadium, BirminghamPrime timeConference gameFinal
Navy
NAVY · 1-1
20
Final
UAB
UAB · 1-2
24
Final
Model missed
Spread
NAVY -6.5
Moneyline
NAVY -240 / UAB +195
Total
O/U 51.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Protective Stadium · Birmingham
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Final
NAVY 20 / UAB 24
From the booth
The model favored NAVY to win, and the call missed.
Navy comes into this one as a clear favorite, sitting at 64 percent to win on the road at UAB. The Midshipmen have got everything working in their favor here, from the Vegas number at minus 6.5 to advantages across the board in team rating and rest. But don't sleep on the Blazers at home in conference play, because this is still a two-score game and UAB's got that home-field advantage to lean on.
Why the model leans NAVY
- Favors Navy: NAVY+0.13Vegas point spread
- Favors Navy: NAVY+0.09Betting-market win probability
- Favors Navy: NAVY+0.01Team rating (Elo) edge