Week 4 slate
Week 4Sat, Sep 26 · 4:00 PM ETDowdy-Ficklen Stadium, GreenvilleFinal
North Carolina Central
NCCU · 0-0
9
Final
East Carolina
ECU · 1-2
42
Final
Model called it
Spread
ECU -35.5
Moneyline
NCCU +2400 / ECU -10000
Total
O/U 56.5
Weather
N/A
Venue
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26 · 4:00 PM ET
Final
NCCU 9 / ECU 42
From the booth
The model favored ECU to win, and the call landed.
East Carolina is coming in as a massive favorite in this one, sitting at 99 percent to win. The Pirates have a huge advantage here with that 35 and a half point spread, and Vegas is absolutely backing them in the betting markets. North Carolina Central's got their work cut out for them, but hey, that's why they play the game.
Why the model leans ECU
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.02Vegas point spread
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.01Betting-market win probability
- Favors East Carolina: ECU+0.00Team rating (Elo) edge